Fermi (FRMI) Stock Plummets 25% as Lock-Up Period Ends and Challenges Mount

Key Takeaways

• Shares of FRMI plummeted 25% following the expiration of its IPO lock-up agreement, which unleashed approximately 32.5 million shares into the market
• The company’s inaugural quarterly earnings report is scheduled for release today, creating additional volatility
• Fermi has been dealt a significant blow with the departure of a $150 million anchor tenant and continues to navigate securities fraud litigation
• The stock hovers near its 52-week bottom of $5.93, representing an 81% decline from peak levels over the past year
• Wall Street price projections span $20–$35, though InvestingPro warns the shares remain overpriced at current valuations

Fermi Inc. (FRMI) faced a turbulent start to the week. The real estate investment trust witnessed shares tumbling 25% as a deluge of selling pressure emerged after its IPO lock-up agreement reached its expiration date. With approximately 32.5 million shares suddenly available for trading, market participants quickly moved to liquidate positions.

Fermi Inc. Common Stock, FRMI

The confluence of events has created a perfect storm for investors. Adding to the turbulence, Fermi is poised to unveil its maiden quarterly financial report today — marking the company’s first official results since its establishment on January 10, 2025, covering operations through December 31, 2025. Management has organized a conference call scheduled for 8:00 a.m. Central Time (9:00 a.m. Eastern) to discuss the findings with stakeholders.

The financial disclosure was submitted as a letter to shareholders via an 8-K filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Compounding the lock-up expiration challenges, Fermi is dealing with several significant setbacks. The REIT suffered the loss of a major $150 million anchor tenant — a substantial setback for a company in its formative phase. Additionally, the firm remains entangled in ongoing securities fraud litigation, casting a persistent shadow over investor sentiment.

Since the beginning of the year, FRMI has declined approximately 23%. Over a 52-week timeframe, the deterioration reaches 81%, with shares trading dangerously close to the yearly low of $5.93.

Despite the challenging environment, Wall Street equity research analysts maintain optimistic outlooks. Price objectives from analysts span a range of $20 to $35 — representing a dramatic premium to current trading levels. However, InvestingPro, which analyzes over 1,400 U.S. equities, characterizes the stock as overvalued even at these compressed price points.

Macro market dynamics are also creating headwinds. Market observers note that increasing Treasury yields are exerting downward pressure on real estate and utility sectors broadly, layering sector-wide challenges atop Fermi’s internal struggles.

Project Matador: Strategic Infrastructure Development

Despite near-term turbulence, Fermi’s strategic infrastructure initiatives continue progressing. The company recently finalized a $165 million senior secured term loan arrangement with CSG Investments, an affiliate entity of Beal Bank USA. The capital will finance the acquisition of six Siemens Energy SGT-800-57 gas turbines — each delivering 57MW of generating capacity — scheduled for deployment in 2028.

Fermi’s Project Matador obtained regulatory clearance for its initial 6GW clean air permit from the Texas Commission on Environmental Quality. Management intends to pursue an additional 5GW permit application, potentially elevating total authorized capacity to approximately 17GW.

On the nuclear energy front, Fermi has partnered with Hyundai Engineering & Construction to progress Front-End Engineering Design work for four AP1000 nuclear reactor units as part of Project Matador.

Wall Street Perspective

Citizens analyst Greg Miller maintained a Market Outperform rating, highlighting Fermi’s data center construction pipeline and capital investment strategy at Project Matador. Evercore ISI’s Nicholas Amicucci characterized the air quality permit authorization as a constructive milestone for the project’s advancement.

FRMI maintains dual listings on both the Nasdaq and the London Stock Exchange under identical ticker symbols.

The stock’s 52-week floor sits at $5.93. At the time of this report, shares were changing hands at $6.18.